Sunday, January 6, 2008

Anyones Game in New Hamphire - The Zogby poll has both Dems and Republicans Close

Democrats – NH Tracking

1-2/5

1-1/4

12–31/1–3

Clinton

31%

32%

32%

Obama

30%

28%

26%

Edwards

20%

20%

20%

Richardson

7%

7%

7%

Kucinich

3%

3%

3%

Biden

1%

2%

2%

Dodd

1%

1%

1%

Undecided

6%

7%

8%

"Democrats are drawing the lion's share of the Independents (40% of the total vote) and I have two key observations to make:

  • Edwards still holds at 20% (including 21% since Iowa).
  • Obama gets the lion's share of leaners, with Edwards receiving a smaller share. Clinton is shut out among leaners.

 Pollster John Zogby will host a live online chat at 1:30 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 9, recap new Hampshire results and to discuss its implications on the road to the White House! For Zogby subscribers only – go to www.zogby.com to subscribe and see the latest polling details you cannot get anywhere else.

"On the Republican side, Romney leads by a hair. McCain's problem is that there are fewer Independents choosing to vote thus far in the Republican primary (just one in four total) to help him match his impressive victory here over George W. Bush in 2000. McCain leads Romney among Independents 48% to 28%, while Romney scores well thus far with Republicans, 33% to 25%. McCain simply needs more Indies but that clearly seems to be Obama's turf.

"Huckabee has climbed a little and will move up a little more. Paul does well in Buchanan country (in the North with 14%) but McCain's iconoclasm and Huckabee's gains so far seem to be squeezing Paul's overall showing."

Republicans – NH Tracking

1-2/5

1-1/4

12–31/1–3

McCain

31%

32%

34%

Romney

32%

30%

30%

Huckabee

12%

12%

10%

Giuliani

7%

9%

9%

Paul

6%

7%

7%

Thompson

3%

3%

2%

Hunter

1%

<1%

1%

Undecided

7%

7%

6%



--
http://www.bransonedge.com
http://www.bransonmissouri.blogspot.com

Details of Zogby Poll

Education in 2008

The Poster being lifted at a Mike Huckabee rally on Jan. 2, 2008 led me to believe John Edwards fans broke into the building.

The posters reading, "Ed in 08" were from the Bill Gates foundation. The non-partisan organization's purpose is to keep education on the minds of candidates.

Mike Huckabee - Chuck Norris Press Conference Part 2 (Norris Endorses Romney)

Chuck Norris endorsed Mike Huckabee with an appearance in Des Moines on Jan 1. 2008.

Norris stayed to campaign with Huckabee for the remaining days leading up to the Iowa Caucus. Norris sums up his reasoning for supporting Huckabee with the statement, "He's a stand up guy."

Huckabee - Chuck Norris Press Conference Part 1 (Press Interview)

Republican presidential nominee hopeful Gov. Mike Huckabee responds to a question about Romney's attack ads.

Huckabee says we should follow Ronald Reagan's advice, "thou shall not speak ill of another Republican".

Secret Service Says, "No Press!"

Click play to see a funny out take. The short clip is of me following a candidate and getting turned away by the Secret Service.

Hey, I had to try.

Sometimes, a press pass closes doors that may otherwise be open.

Speakers for Presidential Candidates-Shelby County Caucus

Starting up the event- Shelby County Caucus (Iowa)

The room the caucus was held in soon filled to the brim. The young people of Shelby county were asked before the process began to give up their seats and sit on the floor so that everyone could fit. As was the case in many precincts caucus night, there were not enough ballots to handle the amount of people who showed for the event.

Larry Madson, County Co-chair of the Shelby County Republican Party and the main organizer of the event said that the turn out was about double what was expected.

The kinks were worked out and the event started on time and largely without a hitch.


Other caucuses, however, began late due to the same issues: ballot shortages and an unexpected turnout. Owen Paun, fellow McCain campaigner, informed me that the caucus he attended in Coralville started out 45 minutes late. Also, while Ron Paul made a weak showing in Shelby county with only a handful of votes, he placed fourth in the Coralville caucus (a heavy college area) behind McCain and earned double digit support statewide with 10 percent of the vote.

The Republican caucus began with the Pledge of Allegiance and a prayer lead by a local pastor.



(footage by Heather Turner)