Sunday, January 6, 2008

Anyones Game in New Hamphire - The Zogby poll has both Dems and Republicans Close

Democrats – NH Tracking

1-2/5

1-1/4

12–31/1–3

Clinton

31%

32%

32%

Obama

30%

28%

26%

Edwards

20%

20%

20%

Richardson

7%

7%

7%

Kucinich

3%

3%

3%

Biden

1%

2%

2%

Dodd

1%

1%

1%

Undecided

6%

7%

8%

"Democrats are drawing the lion's share of the Independents (40% of the total vote) and I have two key observations to make:

  • Edwards still holds at 20% (including 21% since Iowa).
  • Obama gets the lion's share of leaners, with Edwards receiving a smaller share. Clinton is shut out among leaners.

 Pollster John Zogby will host a live online chat at 1:30 p.m. Wednesday, Jan. 9, recap new Hampshire results and to discuss its implications on the road to the White House! For Zogby subscribers only – go to www.zogby.com to subscribe and see the latest polling details you cannot get anywhere else.

"On the Republican side, Romney leads by a hair. McCain's problem is that there are fewer Independents choosing to vote thus far in the Republican primary (just one in four total) to help him match his impressive victory here over George W. Bush in 2000. McCain leads Romney among Independents 48% to 28%, while Romney scores well thus far with Republicans, 33% to 25%. McCain simply needs more Indies but that clearly seems to be Obama's turf.

"Huckabee has climbed a little and will move up a little more. Paul does well in Buchanan country (in the North with 14%) but McCain's iconoclasm and Huckabee's gains so far seem to be squeezing Paul's overall showing."

Republicans – NH Tracking

1-2/5

1-1/4

12–31/1–3

McCain

31%

32%

34%

Romney

32%

30%

30%

Huckabee

12%

12%

10%

Giuliani

7%

9%

9%

Paul

6%

7%

7%

Thompson

3%

3%

2%

Hunter

1%

<1%

1%

Undecided

7%

7%

6%



--
http://www.bransonedge.com
http://www.bransonmissouri.blogspot.com

Details of Zogby Poll

No comments: